Airlines Look for Fall Rebound after Low Traffic Tallies

Oct. 6, 2006
Several airlines are reporting lower traffic tallies for September, partly because of stepped-up security measures in recent weeks, but some said they're hopeful that their autumn results will improve.

Several airlines are reporting lower traffic tallies for September, partly because of stepped-up security measures in recent weeks, but some said they're hopeful that their autumn results will improve.

US Airways(LCC:NYSE) said Wednesday that consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile grew at a relatively slow rate of "more than 5%" last month.

"We continued to experience some softening of close-in bookings due partially to increased security procedures," said President Scott Kirby, in a prepared statement. "We are hopeful that the recently altered procedures, which allow for limited carry-on liquids, will largely reverse that trend."

At the airline's biggest unit, US Airways, mainline traffic, as measured by revenue passenger miles, declined by 0.6%, even as capacity rose 0.4%. At the America West unit, revenue passenger miles declined by 7.1%, and capacity fell 5.4%.

AirTran Airways(AII:NYSE) said revenue passenger miles grew by 11.6%, while capacity rose 28.6% in September. Load factor fell to 61.8%, down sharply from 71.2% for the same period a year earlier.

Recently, the airline had warned that increased capacity in the East, combined with security concerns, was pressuring its performance.

"Clearly our September results reflect softer demand," said Kevin Healy, vice president of planning, in a prepared statement. Healy said that last year's strong load factors were driven by bankrupt competitors' capacity reductions, and that this year's load factor is more in line with historic September ranges of 58% to 63%.

"The growth in total passengers continues to set records and supports the underlying trend for a return to normal traffic levels in November and December," Healy said.

UAL's (UAUA:Nasdaq) United Airlines said September revenue passenger miles rose 1.3%, with capacity increasing 2.3%. United's passenger load was 79.5%, a decline of 0.7 points.

Following the results, the American Stock Exchange Airlines Index was up 1.1%. US Airways, however, fell 20 cents to $47.46, and AirTran traded at $10.30, down 8 cents. UAL added 35 cents to $29.75.

Meanwhile, Delta Air Lines(DALRQ:OTC BB) reported an improvement for last month. Delta said its load factor was 74.6%, up 1.5 points from the same period a year earlier. Delta's September revenue passenger miles fell 3.4%, while capacity fell 5.4%.

Also Wednesday, the Bureau of Transportation Statistics reported that U.S. airline traffic slowed considerably on Aug. 10, the day that new security procedures were implemented following the disclosure of a foiled plot to blow up airlines flying trans-Atlantic routes.

The agency said that only 46% of flights arrived on time that day, compared with an average August on-time arrival rate of 76%.

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