BBA Aviation falls in 4 out of last 5 days

BBA Aviation plc (BBA.L) fell GBX3.10 (or 1.6%). The stock fell in four out of last 5 trading days, for a 5-day fall of 3.3% to close at GBX193.40. Compared with the FTSE 100 index, which fell 66.9 points (or 1.2%) on the day, this was a relative price change of -0.3%.

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RELATIVE VALUATION INDICATORS [RVI] FUNDAMENTALS

Bullish Signals:

Valuation

- The Q Ratio, defined by James Tobin as MCap divided by Total Assets, is 0.7. Compared with the rest of the market the stock is undervalued.

Performance

- Return on Assets of 4.8% versus sector average of 3.7% and market average of 1.3%.

Bearish Signals:

Valuation

- Price/Earnings of 14.2 versus sector average of 10.8 and market average of 10.8. We estimate the shares are trading at a current year P/E of 13.4 and a forward year P/E of 12.6.

- Price/Sales of 0.78 versus sector average of 0.4 and market average of 0.8. We estimate the shares are trading at a current year Price/Sales of 0.8 and a forward year Price/Sales of 0.8.

Performance

- Return on Equity of 13.5% versus sector average of 13.7% and market average of 11.1%.

Description Value Rank In Market Dividend Yield % 7.5 In Top Quartile

RELATIVE VALUATION INDICATORS [RVI] TECHNICALS

- In the United Kingdom market of 1,296 stocks and 170 units traded today, the stock has a 6-month relative strength of 74 indicating it has outperformed 74% of the market.

- The last price is at a discount of 14.8% to the 12-month high of GBX226.85 eleven months ago on 01 Jul, 2011.

- The last price is at a premium of 26.6% to the 12-month low of GBX152.80 nine months ago on 24 Aug, 2011.

- The Beta of this stock is 1.1. A Beta greater than 1 suggests this is a high risk, high return stock with volatility greater than that of the market.

- The value of GBP1,000 invested one year ago is GBP890 [vs GBP903 for the FTSE 100 index], including a capital loss of GBP124 and dividend reinvested of GBP14. The total return to shareholders for 1 year is -11.0%.

Description Value Rank In Market MACD -2.6 Bearish Williams %R -89.8 Bullish

AGGREGATE VOLUMES, PRICES AND TURNOVER PERIOD

London Stock Exchange: BBA.L 568,066 [VI of 0.9]; volume 80.95% of aggregate. Price: GBX193.40.

CHI-X (UK): BBA.CHI-X 133,666 [VI of 0.8]; volume 19.05% of aggregate.

Aggregate volume: there were 701,732 shares worth GBP1.4 million (US$2.2 million) traded. The aggregate volume was 0.9 times average trading of 820,844 shares.

DOWNTREND

- The stock has weakened below its Exponential Moving Average Price (EMAP). Also, its 12-day EMAP is trailing the 26-day EMAP.

- The stock dropped on high volatility today.

- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator of 12-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 198.0 minus the 26-day EMA of 200.6 is negative suggesting a bearish signal. Both the 12-day EMA as well as the 26-day EMA are falling, another bearish signal.

COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS

Apr 24, 2012: BBA Aviation Q1 Interim Management Statement

[Company Release] In advance of its Annual General Meeting today, BBA Aviation plc, the leading global aviation support and aftermarket services provider, is issuing an Interim Management Statement for the period from 1 January to 23 April 2012. For the first quarter to 31 March 2012, Group revenue increased by 2%.

Mar 26, 2012: BBA Aviation announces AGM

BBA Aviation has announced its Annual General Meeting will take place on April 24, 2012.

Feb 27, 2012: BBA Aviation will appoint Non Executive Director

BBA Aviation will appoint Susan Kilsby as a Non Executive Director. The effective date is April 10, 2012.

Jan 04, 2012: Bba Aviation: Signature Flight Support acquires three new locations

[Company Release] BBA Aviation plc today announces that Signature Flight Support ("Signature") has recently acquired the assets of Azalea Aviation in Mobile, Alabama for an initial consideration of $22.0m with further payments of up to $5.3m over a 5 year period. Signature has also acquired 95% of Arrindell Aviation Services in St Maarten, Caribbean for a cash consideration of $7.8m. Azalea Aviation incorporates two sole source Fixed Base Operations ("FBOs"), the Mobile Air Center at the Mobile Regional Airport and the Downtown Air Center at the Mobile Downtown Airport with long lease terms of over 26 and 30 years respectively.

Dec 21, 2011: Bba Aviation : ASIG awarded new contract by British Airways at London Stansted and renews agreement at Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Airport

[Company Release] ASIG, an industry leader in aviation services, announced today that it has been selected by British Airways as the new aircraft refueler at London Stansted Airport (STN) for their scheduled cargo operation. STN is ASIG's third dedicated refueling operation for British Airways which include operations at London Heathrow (LHR) and London Gatwick (LGW).