Law of Unintended Consequences

Every law produces an anticipated effect, but it will also cause an unexpected result


Frédéric Bastiat, the great French legislator, economist, and writer detailed in his work, That Which is Seen, and that Which is Not Seen, the unintended consequence of government action.

He wrote: [A]n act, a habit, an institution, a law, gives birth not only to an effect, but to a series of effects. Of these effects, the first only is immediate; it manifests itself simultaneously with its cause — it is seen. The others unfold in succession — they are not seen: it is well for us, if they are foreseen.

When it comes to politics and economics, there isn’t a better way to describe the consequences of government action. Every law produces an anticipated effect, but it will also cause an unexpected result. The sooner the unforeseen can be uncovered (in the best circumstances this will occur prior to enactment); the better the public can adjust or remedy the situation. Unfortunately, U.S. lawmakers and the administration act (or fail to act in certain circumstances) every day and with that comes inadvertent costs to the public.

The unintended consequences are especially profound when policymakers dive into areas where they have limited expertise. How many aviation maintenance specialists were members of the last Congress? You guessed it: none. There were a handful of lawmakers with experience as pilots or as aviation industry executives, but there were no aviation mechanics, repair station owners, or A&Ps in Congress. In fact, most lawmakers have never even run a business. Additionally, there is already a complex regime of rules and mandates in place regulating the aviation industry. So, it shouldn’t come as a complete surprise that Congress, when legislating in the aviation maintenance arena, creates unintended consequences.

The voice of aviation maintenance

This is where the Aeronautical Repair Station Association (ARSA) enters the picture. ARSA is the voice of aviation maintenance in our nation’s capital educating lawmakers and regulators about the consequences of their actions. The association is engaged on behalf of certificated repair stations on a daily basis with those creating policy that will directly impact the aviation maintenance sector. In other words, ARSA is here to limit the impact when policymakers give “birth not only to an effect, but to a series of effects.”

The most recent FAA reauthorization is illustrative of ARSA’s role in the process. Until recently, the FAA was operating based on policies and funding levels set by Congress in the 2003 law VISION-100, which granted the agency operating authority through 2007. In February 2012, following 23 extensions of VISION-100, Congress finally enacted legislation (the FAA Modernization & Reform Act) setting new policies and priorities for the agency. The process was long and arduous and ARSA was engaged throughout.

In the formulation of the new policies, it was clear key lawmakers had their sights set on contract maintenance. Legislation impacting the aviation maintenance industry was inevitable; ARSA’s goal was to lessen the negative consequences (both intended and unintended).

One proposal would have mandated FAA inspections of all certificated foreign repair stations regardless of bilateral agreements. The intended consequences were apparent (duplicative, burdensome inspections for repair stations), but the unforeseen were not so obvious (the collapse of the U.S.-E.U. bilateral safety agreement, increased certification costs for U.S. repair stations).

In the end, the industry’s efforts paid off. The final bill codified FAA policy requiring that foreign repair stations be inspected annually by agency safety inspectors in a manner consistent with BASAs. It also ensured the FAA can carry out additional inspections based on identified risk. The FAA need not perform duplicative inspections in areas where there are BASAs in place. There will still be consequences, both intended and unintended, but they will be limited because of the Association’s early engagement with key lawmakers.

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